Thursday, April 16, 2009

Talkin' Derby

By: T.R. Slyder, TRSlyder@yahoo.com

Don't worry, I plagarize yet again today. This document is much easier to decipher here than it is below. It's a juxtaposition of the Derby Prep races from 2008 to 2009, and was compiled by Daily Racing Form editor-in-chief, Steven Crist. He took the data from this useful page. (sorry this chart looks like crap, I had a super difficult time with it. I'd recommend just clicking the first link)



2009 winner BSFRaceBSF2008 winner



















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Friesan Fire93LeComte95Z Fortune

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The Pamplemousse96San Rafael98El Gato Malo

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Saratoga Sinner96Holy Bull88Hey Byrn

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Pioneerof the Nile94RB Lewis93Crown of Thorns

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Friesan Fire96Risen Star90Pyro

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General Quarters100Sam Davis85Fierce Wind

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Chocolate Candy90El Camino Real88Autism Awareness

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Old Fashioned93Southwest96Denis of Cork

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Quality Road113Fountain of Youth98Cool Coal Man

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The Pamplemousse103Sham86Colonel John

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I Want Revenge113Gotham98Visionaire

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Friesan Fire104Louisiana Derby95Pyro

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Pioneerof the Nile90San Felipe92Georgie Boy

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Win Willy102Rebel99Sierra Sunset

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Musket Man90Tampa Bay Derby93Big Truck

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Hold Me Back97Lane's End92Adriano

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Quality Road111Florida Derby106Big Brown

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Musket Man98Illinois Derby102Recapturetheglory

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I Want Revenge103Wood Memorial93Tale of Ekati

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Pioneerof the Nile96SA Derby95Colonel John






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Papa Clem99Arkansas Derby103Gayego

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General Quarters95Blue Grass92Monba

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98.7AVERAGE94.4
Point being that this year's crop is much faster than last year's. Last year's trifecta was Big Brown, Eight Belles and Denis of Cork. Eight Belles is not featured on this list (being female, all of her Derby preps were against other females). Denis of Cork beat his 2009 counterpart, whereas Big Brown, the Derby winner and overwhelming favorite "lost" to his 2009 counterpart, Quality Road, who likely be the second or third favorite this year. Colonel John, the winner of the 2008 Santa Anita Derby and (if my memory is correct) was about the 2nd, 3rd or 4th betting favorite in the Derby finished way back. The Derby was his first race on dirt, much like it will be for the 2009 Santa Anita Derby winner, Pioneer of the Nile. One of my biggest knocks on Pioneer of the Nile is my fear that he is the 2009 Colonel John.

Should be a great Derby.

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