By: T.R. Slyder, TRSlyder@yahoo.com
Don't worry, I plagarize yet again today. This document is much easier to decipher here than it is below. It's a juxtaposition of the Derby Prep races from 2008 to 2009, and was compiled by Daily Racing Form editor-in-chief, Steven Crist. He took the data from this useful page. (sorry this chart looks like crap, I had a super difficult time with it. I'd recommend just clicking the first link)
2009 winner | BSF | Race | BSF | 2008 winner |
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| . | Friesan Fire | 93 | LeComte | 95 | Z Fortune | . | The Pamplemousse | 96 | San Rafael | 98 | El Gato Malo | . | Saratoga Sinner | 96 | Holy Bull | 88 | Hey Byrn | . | Pioneerof the Nile | 94 | RB Lewis | 93 | Crown of Thorns | . | Friesan Fire | 96 | Risen Star | 90 | Pyro | . | General Quarters | 100 | Sam Davis | 85 | Fierce Wind | . | Chocolate Candy | 90 | El Camino Real | 88 | Autism Awareness | . | Old Fashioned | 93 | Southwest | 96 | Denis of Cork | . | Quality Road | 113 | Fountain of Youth | 98 | Cool Coal Man | . | The Pamplemousse | 103 | Sham | 86 | Colonel John | . | I Want Revenge | 113 | Gotham | 98 | Visionaire | . | Friesan Fire | 104 | Louisiana Derby | 95 | Pyro | . | Pioneerof the Nile | 90 | San Felipe | 92 | Georgie Boy | . | Win Willy | 102 | Rebel | 99 | Sierra Sunset | . | Musket Man | 90 | Tampa Bay Derby | 93 | Big Truck | . | Hold Me Back | 97 | Lane's End | 92 | Adriano | . | Quality Road | 111 | Florida Derby | 106 | Big Brown | . | Musket Man | 98 | Illinois Derby | 102 | Recapturetheglory | . | I Want Revenge | 103 | Wood Memorial | 93 | Tale of Ekati | . | Pioneerof the Nile | 96 | SA Derby | 95 | Colonel John |
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| . | Papa Clem | 99 | Arkansas Derby | 103 | Gayego | . | General Quarters | 95 | Blue Grass | 92 | Monba | . |
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| 98.7 | AVERAGE | 94.4 |
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Point being that this year's crop is much faster than last year's. Last year's trifecta was Big Brown, Eight Belles and Denis of Cork. Eight Belles is not featured on this list (being female, all of her Derby preps were against other females). Denis of Cork beat his 2009 counterpart, whereas Big Brown, the Derby winner and overwhelming favorite "lost" to his 2009 counterpart, Quality Road, who likely be the second or third favorite this year. Colonel John, the winner of the 2008 Santa Anita Derby and (if my memory is correct) was about the 2nd, 3rd or 4th betting favorite in the Derby finished way back. The Derby was his first race on dirt, much like it will be for the 2009 Santa Anita Derby winner, Pioneer of the Nile. One of my biggest knocks on Pioneer of the Nile is my fear that he is the 2009 Colonel John.
Should be a great Derby.
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