Showing posts with label Election. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Election. Show all posts

Tuesday, November 4, 2008

Where Awesome Happens Election Night Oddsmaking



By: T.R. Slyder, TRSlyder@yahoo.com



The odds that Obama wins AND in his speech says, "Yes We Did!": 80%

The odds McCain says the word "fight" in his speech tonight: 95%

The odds McCain says the words "my friends" in his speech tonight: 135%

The odds that McCain admits that Joe the Plumber was a campaign consultant: 15%

The odds that Sarah Palin wears red tonight: 85%

The odds that Sarah Palin says "...good people" at some point tonight on camera: 55%

The odds that McCain/Palin win, and in their victory seech say "About the campaign that promised 'Yes We Can'....well hear this friends- Oh no they di'n't!": 3%

(The odds that I want that happen: 100%)

The odds that Biden gets carried away to a Kid-on-Christmas-Day level annoyance: 60%

The odds that the election is NOT decided before Midnight ET: 5%

The odds that Chris Matthews says something so loudly tonight that you think "Was it really necessary to scream just then?": 98%

The odds that he spits, or has saliva visible in the corners of his mouth and looks as though he is rabid: 88%

The odds that someone on NBC, or MSNBC makes reference to how Tim Russert would have loved this and/or, how they wish they could hear Russert's opinion of tonight: 99%

The odds that CNN's Candy Crowley's hair is parted, and straight as can-be: 100%

The odds that Obama wins and while they interview an ordinary citizen that is a black, senior citizen to put this in perspective they say "Ohh ma gaaad": 15%

The odds that Florida has the most talk of voter fraud, or general voter dissatisfaction: 50%

The odds that voter intimdation is most rampant in ONE of the following cities: Philadelphia, Cleveland, Cincinnati, Miami, Tampa, St. Louis (including East St. Louis) or Gary, IN.: 50%

The odds that Obama wins then in his victory speech admits that he is, in fact, a radical muslim: 85% (I borrowed that one from a Texan oddsmaker).

The odds he wins and declares he is a muslim, but not a radical one: 15%

The odds of CNN's Paul Begala looking hetero the entire night, and not beaming like a Broadway actor during the first curtain-call after opening night: .11%

The odds FoxNews's coverage is Pro-Obama: No one should watch Fox News to find out. That was a trick question.

Over/Under on # of mentions of The Bradley Effect on CNN: 20

" " on MSNBC: 18

" " on Fox News: 125 (But you still shouldn't watch)


Odds that McCain/Palin wins and Rachel Maddow gets misty and says she is so proud of Sarah Palin: -77,000%


Odds of Obama winning and you hearing reference to calling the White House "The Black House" at some point in the next 48 hours: 65%

Odds Obama suggests changing his middle name. To "Osama": 6%






Leave your odds in the comments section.

This is Election-Related and Kinda Awesome

By: T.R. Slyder, TRSlyder@yahoo.com


Check out this cool site. The Freakonomics blog linked to it a few days ago, and it's pretty sweet. It's a map and a timeline basically, and the timeline scrolls from 1840 to 2004 and shows how every state voted in the elections. I'd recommend scrolling down all the way, so you can see the years and then hit the Pause button if you want to check it out. It's a doozie.


Don't Billy-Club Me, Bro

By: T.R. Slyder, TRSlyder@yahoo.com


Apparently, if you stand in front of a polling station dressed in all black with a billy club, you will displease not only ivy league student journalists, but also police. Who knew?









Put On Your Voting Caps, America!



Hell yeah.




Free Starbucks if you Vote Today!

By: T.R. Slyder, TRSlyder@yahoo.com


http://www.bizjournals.com/washington/stories/2008/11/03/daily25.html


Don't forget to hit them up. They can afford it.


Florida is Getting an Early Start on Election Stupidity

By: T.R. Slyder, TRSlyder@yahoo.com



Why wouldn't you stand in the middle of a freeway?


And check out which city this was from. I REALLY hope these aren't the people making my butter.


This is Kinda Awesome


By: T.R. Slyder, TRSlyder@yahoo.com




It Is What The Chinese Call "Erection Day"


By: T.R. Slyder, TRSlyder@yahoo.com


On Election Day the two websites I most recommend keeping refreshed are FiveThirtyEight.com, CNN.com's Election Center, and TheDrudgeReport. I'll post more today (for a change). But I wanted to get this out.